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Institution: A small interest rate cut by the European Central Bank may have a neutral impact on euro credit. Analysts of Yuxin Bank said in a report that the European Central Bank is expected to announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut tonight, which should have a neutral impact on euro-denominated credit. Analysts said that if the central bank cuts interest rates by 50 basis points further, it is unlikely to be beneficial to euro credit, because it will raise concerns about economic growth in the euro zone. According to the data of LSEG Refinitiv, the possibility that the market expects the European Central Bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points is 83%, while the possibility of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 17%. Yuxin Bank said that as the European Central Bank continues to cut interest rates, the euro credit spread may fluctuate slightly or tighten slightly in the coming months.The OpenAI webpage shows that API, ChatGPT and Sora are all running normally.Nordic United Bank: The risk of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cannot be ignored. Nordic United Bank said that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, but there is also a significant risk of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The differences within the Committee have intensified again, and it is not easy for Lagarde to get another consistent compromise. A possible compromise is to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and at the same time, some guidelines are given, indicating that as long as the ECB's benchmark view remains unchanged, it may cut interest rates again in January. Our benchmark expectation is still to cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the meeting in April next year, when the deposit interest rate is expected to reach 2.25%.

IEA Monthly Report: Despite the rising demand, the oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday that although OPEC+extended the reduction of oil supply and the demand forecast was slightly higher than expected, the global oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. In its monthly oil market report, the agency said that its forecast of global oil demand growth in 2025 was raised from 990,000 barrels per day last month to 1.1 million barrels per day, "mainly from Asian countries, especially affected by China's recent stimulus measures".Huaxin Securities: China Unicom's operating income grew steadily and maintained its "buy" rating. Huaxin Securities Research Report pointed out that since the beginning of this year, China Unicom (600050.SH) has seen steady growth in operating income, rapid improvement in profitability, steady expansion of user scale and continuous consolidation of network foundation, laying a more solid foundation for high-quality development of enterprises. Communication and digital intelligence services are driven by two wheels, injecting vitality into the company's performance. Looking forward to the whole year, the company will adhere to the general tone of steady progress, promote the network to be new, technology to be new and service to be new, strive to achieve the performance goal of steady growth of operating income and double-digit growth of profits throughout the year, take greater steps in high-quality development, and accelerate the construction of a world-class science and technology service enterprise with global competitiveness. With the gradual expansion of user scale and the drive of digital transformation, the company will benefit from the continuous improvement of revenue and profit and maintain the "buy" investment rating.Alleged of tax evasion, Adidas' German headquarters was raided for two days in a row. On December 11th, local time, criminal prosecutors and customs investigators raided Adidas' German headquarters for the second day in a row, which was an escalation of years of investigation on the sports brand's alleged tax evasion. The amount of tax evasion may exceed 1.1 billion euros. The European Prosecutor's Office (EPPO), headquartered in Luxembourg, said on the 11th that it was conducting a "criminal investigation" against a German sportswear trading enterprise group on the grounds that it was "suspected of tax evasion related to customs duties and import and sales taxes". Adidas said that this long-term investigation is unlikely to have "any significant financial impact".

Italy's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in the third quarter was 6.1%, and the previous value was 6.80%.EU finalizes new sanctions against Russia: strike against the "shadow fleet". According to a report on the website of German newspaper Sü ddeutsche Zeitung on December 11th, EU countries have reached an agreement on a new package of sanctions against Russia. Several diplomats told DPA that the new sanctions were aimed at strengthening the crackdown on the so-called "Russian shadow fleet" transporting oil and petroleum products. It is reported that more than 50 ships will be banned from entering EU ports. In addition, they can no longer get the services of EU enterprises. In June this year, the EU has taken preliminary measures to blacklist more than 20 Russian ships. It is reported that this is the 15th package of sanctions against Russia drawn up by the EU so far. The plan also stipulates that trade with more than 30 other business entities should be restricted, and the EU has determined that they should keep in touch with the Russian defense and security departments. In addition, the EU also plans to impose an entry ban and asset freeze on some individuals. According to the report, senior EU officials are pleased that member States have reached a consensus on this. Kaya Karas, the EU's High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, said: "This will further weaken (Russian President) Putin's war machine." Roberta Metsola, Speaker of the European Parliament, said: "This sends another strong signal: our support for Ukraine will not weaken." The sanctions plan will be officially confirmed at the meeting of foreign ministers of member States in Brussels on the 16th, and then will be published in the official gazette of the European Union and come into effect. (Reference message)Poly Development: Poly Group increased its holdings by 261 million yuan. According to the announcement of Poly Development, the actual controller of the company, Poly Group, has completed the plan to increase its holdings, and accumulated 27,980,100 A shares, accounting for 0.23% of the total share capital, with an increase of 261 million yuan. This increase plan will last for 12 months from December 12, 2023, and the increase amount will be no less than 250 million yuan and no more than 500 million yuan. After the completion of the increase, Poly Group directly holds about 3.03% of the company's shares, and the total shareholding ratio with its wholly-owned subsidiaries is 40.72%. The increase in holdings is in compliance with relevant laws and regulations, and Poly Group promises not to reduce its holdings within the statutory time limit.